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by Liz Bates
28 November 2018
UK '£150bn worse off after a no-deal Brexit' warns Treasury

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UK '£150bn worse off after a no-deal Brexit' warns Treasury

Treasury analysis is set to reveal that a no-deal Brexit will make Britain £150bn worse off over the next fifteen years, it has been reported.

According to the Telegraph, the new economic forecasts will also say that the Brexit deal agreed by Theresa May will cost £40bn in lost revenue over the same period, compared with continued EU membership.

The Prime Minister is likely to use there findings to urge her MPs to back her blueprint when it comes before the Commons next month, warning that rejecting it would be economically disastrous.

According to the Treasury analysis, leaving the EU without a deal would lead to GDP being 7.5 per cent lower over the next fifteen years, compared to a 1-2 per cent shortfall under the Prime Minister's plan.

Former Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab dismissed the findings, telling the Telegraph: "There is an economic credibility gap with all these Treasury-led forecasts, based on their track record of failure, the questionable assumptions they rely on, and the inherent challenge of making reliable long-term forecasts.

"Politically, it looks like a rehash of Project Fear. People expect to be inspired, not scared witless into deferring to the Government. Whenever Whitehall make forecasts for leaving the EU on WTO terms, it's always the same.

"They rely on the most pessimistic assumptions, and airbrush out the opportunities of leaving with full regulatory control and the ability to strike free trade deals around the world."

In a separate row, the Government has been criticised over its refusal to publish the Brexit legal advice it has received in full.

The advice has been seen by the Cabinet and was expected to be handed over to MPs after Parliament voted to force its publication.

But Downing Street has said that only a “position statement” will be released rather than the “final and full advice” given to ministers.

Brexiteer Peter Bone said: “People will naturally think the legal advice doesn't support their case and that's why they don't want to publish it.

"It's a very dangerous precedent for the executive to defy Parliament. Maybe they're trying to delay publishing it until after the vote but that would be an outrage."

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