Follow us

Scotland’s fortnightly political & current affairs magazine

Subscribe

Subscribe to Holyrood
Tory lead over Labour is narrowing, poll suggests

Ballot box

Tory lead over Labour is narrowing, poll suggests

The Tory poll lead over Labour is narrowing while the Liberal Democrats are continuing to shed support, according to a new poll from Survation.

The polling, conducted for Good Morning Britain, shows that the Conservatives are now just nine points ahead of their main rivals, down from 14 points two weeks ago.

It puts support for the Conservatives on 42 per cent - unchanged in the past fortnight - with Labour up five points on 33 per cent.

Meanwhile the Liberal Democrats have shed two points over the past fortnight, taking them to 11 per cent of the vote.

The Brexit Party, which topped the European elections at a UK-level, remain on just three per cent while the Greens are up one point on four per cent.

The poll suggests Labour's bounce could be down to a growth in support among Remain voters, with 49 per cent of those who backed Remain in the 2016 EU referendum now saying they will vote for the party - a ten-point rise on two weeks ago.

By contrast, just 21 per cent of Remain backers say they will vote for the avowedly anti-Brexit Lib Dems, down from 24 per cent in a fortnight.

There has also been a solidifying of Labour's support among those who backed the party at the 2017 election, according to Survation, with 77 per cent of those who previously voted for Jeremy Corbyn now saying they will do so again, up from 69 per cent in the first Survation/GMB poll.

Thirteen percent of Labour's 2017 voters remain undecided, the pollster found, compared to 8 per cent for 2017 Tory voters.

The study also shows that Boris Johnson remains comfortably in the lead when voters are asked who would make the best Prime Minister.

The Conservative leader bags 43 per cent support on that question, compared to just 25 per cent for Jeremy Corbyn, who has risen three points since the last study.

Jo Swinson has seen a five-point loss, with 11 per cent now saying she would make the best PM.

GMB/Survation sampled 1,065 members of the public between 26-30 November.

The study comes after a mixed weekend of polling for the Tories, with figures ranging from the party being just six points ahead to a much larger 15.

A BMG survey saw Labour up five per cent to 33 per cent, while the Tories slipped two per cent to 39 per cent, increasing the chances of a hung parliament.

But Opinium put Johnson’s party on 46 per cent, while Labour languish on 31 per cent, despite being up three points since the firm’s last poll.

If that scenario was replicated on election night it would see the Prime Minister returned to Number 10 with a sizeable majority in the House of Commons.

Tags

Referendum

Stay in the know with our fortnightly magazine

Stay in the know with our fortnightly magazine

Subscribe

Popular reads
Back to top