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The UK's Post-Brexit Immigration System: Implications for Scotland

Inward migration has helped to turnaround Scotland’s position from a nation from which people emigrated from with a declining population to one people have come to and has helped Scotland to fill vacancies across a number of sectors and subsidise its public services. With Scotland’s working age population falling relative to the rest of UK’s rising one, will the UK Government’s White Paper on the post-Brexit skills-based immigration system allow Scotland’s businesses, public sector and educational institutions to continue to meet their varying needs?

The Context

The Migration Advisory Committee’s report did not accept that Scotland’s needs were sufficiently different from the rest of the UK that it needs its own distinct proposals, however, if all of the recommendations in the White Paper were to be implemented - particularly the retention of the £30,000 salary threshold for Tier 2 visa applicants - the Scottish Government claims that it could result in an 85% reduction in inflows of long-term workers from EU and EEA countries with the median salary in Scotland being £23.833 and particular sectors such as social care, construction and hospitality where salaries tend to be lower being more adversely affected than others.

The UK Government have partially accepted the salary threshold recommendation in the White Paper but this is subject to consultation with all stakeholders until February 2020.  CBI Scotland have called for a future UK immigration system that works for Scotland and all nations and regions of the UK so that Scotland’s employers and businesses’ workforce needs are met.  FSB Scotland have warned that the proposals could result in small businesses relocating out of Scotland or reducing or ceasing trading thus adversely hampering productivity – all of which has serious implications for Scotland’s tax revenue and ability to contribute towards pensions and public services, which will be under greater strain in the future with a more rapidly ageing population.

Join Holyrood on 23 January as we present expert speakers and gather stakeholders together in advance of the closing of the UK Government’s consultation to discuss its post-Brexit immigration reforms and policy priorities in order to ensure that the reforms work in Scotland’s interest, maintains the workforce required to safeguard the future of productivity and public services in Scotland as well as illuminate policy alternatives to the same end if the proposals in the White Paper are pursued.

Key Issues We'll Address With You

  • Overview of the MAC  report/UK Government White Paper
  • The Tier 2 visa salary threshold
  • The Immigration Skills Charge and the Health surcharge
  • Discussion of the macroeconomic effect of the changes as proposed in the White Paper
  • Policy options for Scotland – differentiation within a UK-administered immigration system; devolution of immigration policy and other fiscal policy alternatives and consequences
  • Sectoral focus – social care; construction and hospitality
  • Effects on public services such as health and education

Confirmed Speakers

  • Ben Macphrerson MSP, Minister for Migration, Europe and International Development, The Scottish Government
  • Dr Eve Hepburn, Advisory Board, Scottish Centre on European Relations, Director, Policy Scribe & Academic Fellow, The Scottish Parliament
  •  Senior speaker from CBI Scotland 
  • Barry McCulloch, Senior Policy Adviser, Federation of Small Businesses Scotland 
  • Kelly Hardman, Manager and Senior Associate, Fragomen LLP
  • Dr Jennifer Smith, Member, Migration Advisory Committee & Associate Professor of Economics, University of Warwick

Agenda

09:30 Registration and Refreshments

10:00 Welcome and Introduction from the Chair

Session 1: UK Immigration Policy in Context: Will The Proposals In The White Paper Deliver For Scotland?

  • Overview of the MAC report, the subsequent UK Government White Paper and consultation and analysis as to whether the new proposed system would deliver for Scotland’s current and future needs
  • Effect of the changes on Scotland, the UK and the wider economy

Ben Macphrerson MSP, Minister for Migration, Europe and International Development, The Scottish Government

Dr Eve Hepburn, Advisory Board, Scottish Centre on European Relations, Director, Policy Scribe & Academic Fellow, The Scottish Parliament 

10:40 Questions and Discussion

Interactive session: Delegates will be dispersed in to groups to share thoughts, perspectives, insights, problems and solutions from their own professional background by way of peer-to-peer learning.  Delegates will have the opportunity to use www.mentimeter.com which will allow their ideas to be incorporated into Question and Discussion sections for each session.

11:20 Refreshments and Networking

Session 2: Safeguarding The Health And Wealth Of The Nation: Delivery Of A Post-Brexit Immigration System That Delivers For The Needs Of Scotland’s Public Services, Businesses And Employers

  • Discussion of the proposed salary threshold for Tier-2 Visa applicants of £30,000
  • Workforce projections and impact on long-term productivity
  • Incentives and impediments for migrants to come to post-Brexit Scotland
  • Sectoral analysis focused on sectors most affected and most reliant on labour from the EEA, particularly, but not exclusive to, social care and tourism/hospitality

Senior Speaker, CBI Scotland 

Barry McCulloch, Senior Policy Adviser, Federation of Small Businesses Scotland 

13:00 Questions and Discussion

13:30 Lunch and Networking

Session 3: Policy Priorities In Delivering A System That Works For Scotland And The Rest Of The UK

  • Scope for policy differentiation within a UK-wide system
  • A lower salary threshold for Scotland/the rest of the UK or a higher salary threshold for London and the South-East of England?
  • UK Government priorities in delivering a skills-based immigration system which ends freedom of movement – getting the right people, in the right place, in the right jobs at the right time

Kelly Hardman, Manager and Senior Associate, Fragomen LLP

Dr Jennifer Smith, Member, Migration Advisory Committee & Associate Professor of Economics, University of Warwick

15:00 Questions and Discussion

15:20 Closing Remarks from Chair

15:25 Close of Event

Please note the agenda is subject to change

Get In Touch

Book now or  or call Adam on 01312851692

If you have an inspiring case study or a project that you think is relevant, please do not hesitate to get in touch. We are always on the lookout for new speakers. 

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Categories

Economics & Finance

Date
23 Jan 2020
Venue
Central Edinburgh
Cost
Reduced rate
1 place £145 + VATpp

Voluntary/charitable organisations with an annual income of less than £1m

Standard rate
1 place £245 + VAT | 2+ places £195 + VAT per place

Central government departments and agencies, local authorities, universities, colleges, NHS, police, professional associations and voluntary/charitable organisations with an annual income over £1m

Private Sector rate
1 place £295 + VAT | 2+ places £245 + VAT per place

Commercial organisations e.g. plc, Ltd, LLP

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