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Wednesday, 22 October 2008

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Issue 168 front coverHolyrood magazine is the fortnightly insiders guide to understanding the complexity of Scottish politics and policy developments and is widely regarded as being the leading publication for political news and information in Scotland.


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With soaring fuel prices and a predicted recession, Katie Mackintosh reports on the difficulties facing some of Scotland's most vulnerable people this winter

There is an overwhelming sense of déjà vu about the current economic difficulties. In the mid-1970s the UK was gripped by an oil crisis. Fuel prices rocketed out of control and low-income households struggled to keep up. The term fuel poverty was coined, defined as when a household spends more than 10 per cent of its income on gas and electricity. However, fuel poverty is not just about low income, poor quality housing stock inadequately insulated with inefficient heating systems confounded the problem. Those most vulnerable to falling into fuel poverty, such as the elderly, low income families and the disabled, were also the most vulnerable to its effects. Some chose to keep the heat on and fell into debt as a result. Others tried to cut down or even cut off their energy use, only to increase their risk of ill health and mortality.
And it appears history is repeating itself. In 1991 there were 7.3 million households in the UK that were deemed either fuel poor or considered vulnerable to suffering fuel poverty. By 2002 this figure had fallen to just over 2 million. However, as inflation, unemployment and energy prices continue to soar, this early progress is now in danger of being wiped out. Figures published by the UK Government last month showed that 1 million new households entered fuel poverty in 2006. Similarly, figures published in August by energy regulator Ofgem revealed that the number of electricity and gas disconnections for debt rose to 8,324 in 2007, up by 3,270 from the previous year. However, while these are the latest official statistics available, they do not reflect this year’s double-digit hikes in energy prices, some as large as 35 per cent.


In Scotland the most recent statistics available are taken from the Scottish Housing Condition Survey of 2005/06, which estimated that around a quarter of households in Scotland are fuel poor. However, it also calculated that for every 1 per cent rise in energy prices, another 8,000 households would become fuel poor. As a result, Energy Action Scotland estimates that 850,000 households, 29 per cent, are fuel poor in Scotland.
And all this at a time when we are meant to be moving forward. The UK and Scottish Governments both have pledges to eradicate fuel poverty by 2016. However, the recent increases show that this laudable goal is now in real danger of slipping away from them. The nearly £1bn package of help unveiled by Prime Minister Gordon Brown last month is undoubtedly a step in the right direction, but does it go far enough? As the countdown to the 2016 deadline begins, is the target achievable?
The £910m package announced by Brown in September aimed to target the three root causes of fuel poverty: the cost of fuel as determined by energy prices; the amount of fuel required to heat a property as dictated by the energy efficiency of a property; and the ability of the household to afford the necessary fuel.
Key among the measures were promises of free cavity wall and loft insulation for pensioners and poor households, a 50 per cent discount on the cost of insulation for all households, a freeze on this year’s bills for half a million poor consumers, and an increase in cold weather payments from £8.50 a week to £25 a week for pensioners, disabled people and unemployed families with children under five.
The Prime Minister said that it was the “right approach, giving priority to permanent – not just one-off – changes, with the offer of lasting benefits and fairness for all families, cutting bills permanently every year.”
Others, however, are less certain. SNP Westminster energy spokesperson Mike Weir MP says the energy measures are “far too little, far too late.” While he has some praise for the energy efficiency measures contained in the package, which he said are important for the long term, he criticises the Prime Minister for failing to impose a windfall tax on energy companies that could have provided immediate financial assistance to fuel poor households. At a time when the Treasury is receiving record windfalls from North Sea oil and energy companies are recording record profits, he says vulnerable households are being left behind.
“Action needs to be taken to give fuel poor households immediate relief this winter,” he says. “It is no good telling someone already in poverty, wait until next year. There are a range of things we can be doing and need to do now.”
However, his censure is not reserved for the UK Government. He also expresses his disappointment in the recently published Ofgem report on its investigation into competition in the electricity and gas markets. The report ruled that there was no evidence of collusion on price increases between the UK’s “big six” power companies – although it did also tell companies to stop charging customers different rates if they pay by direct debit or pre-payment meters, the latter being the most common method of payment for fuel poor customers. However, Weir says the report merely “tinkers at the edges of the problem” and offers little consolation to those suffering the effects of rocketing prices.
Trisha McAuley, head of services & advocacy, for the newly formed Consumer Focus Scotland – the result of a merger by the Scottish Consumer Council, energywatch Scotland and Postwatch Scotland – says she would also like to see the regulator paying closer attention to the market in Scotland.
“Ofgem needs to up the ante in Scotland,” she says. “They are a UK regulator so they need to cross the border a bit more. At the moment it is very hard to extract from the data what it means for consumers in Scotland.”
However, what we do know shows us that the outlook is no less bleak in Scotland.
According to David McNeish, parliamentary and policy officer, Citizens Advice Scotland, queries about utility bills is the fastest growing area of inquiry for the service. “We’ve had 13,000 new inquiries this year, a 37 per cent rise on the year before,” he says. He also points out that research conducted by CAS in 2006 that looked at the problems facing CAB clients who had an illness or disability found that 48 per cent said that they had reduced their heating, lighting or cooking because of difficulty paying for fuel. “So those most vulnerable to the effects of fuel poverty are putting their health further at risk because they can’t afford the price of fuel

Quotation those most vulnerable to the effects of fuel poverty are putting their health further at risk because they can’t afford the price of fuel Quotation
” he says.
So what action is being taken to alleviate fuel poverty north of the border? In May the Scottish Government published its review of fuel poverty. In it, it admitted that the current fuel poverty programmes, including the much praised central heating programme – a non-means tested scheme that provides free central heating and insulation packages for residents in Scotland who are aged 60 and over and whose system is broken and beyond repair or who do not have one at all – are not helping those most in need. Speaking at the time, Cabinet Secretary for Health and Wellbeing Nicola Sturgeon said, “Too much of the money invested in the central heating programme doesn’t help the fuel poor. That’s why we need to overhaul the current programme to ensure it helps those in most need.
“The evidence from the review suggests that the central heating programme is not tackling fuel poverty as effectively as it could be, and makes clear that, currently, many of those eligible for central heating are not fuel poor.”
As a result, she also announced the reconvening of the Scottish Fuel Poverty Forum, which it tasked with reviewing how to refocus the policy and better use the resources available to achieve the target of eradicating fuel poverty.
Earlier this month the forum published its report, in which it proposed creating an Energy Assistance Package. This, it says, should include advice on tariffs to address the energy prices people pay, a benefit and tax credit check to maximise their income, and an energy audit with follow up to provide physical means of reducing their energy use. However, while optimistic that the package will make a real difference to people who are currently struggling, the report adds that they do not believe that the package alone will take us to the 2016 target. While their remit had included the proviso, “within existing resource levels”, the report also notes that current levels of funding are “wholly inadequate, given the growing scale of the problem.” At present Scottish Government spend on fuel poverty programmes is £45.9m per year, of which to date, £40m was allocated to the central heating programme. The report adds that if the target is to be reached, it will require, “a step change in investment, as soon as is reasonably practicable. Governments in London and Edinburgh must work together on this with energy companies and others if we are to show that we mean it when we say that fuel poverty is unacceptable.”
And the members of the forum are not the only ones concerned that current efforts to alleviate fuel poverty do not go far enough. South of the border, two charities are taking the UK Government to court because they say not enough is being done to tackle high energy bills. Help the Aged and Friends of the Earth have called for a judicial review, alleging that the Government is breaking the law by not doing everything reasonable to meet the 2016 target.
Where the difficulty for the Government lies is that the target is not just a worthy goal, but a statutory commitment. The Warm Homes and Energy Conservation Act 2000 required the UK Government to prepare and publish a strategy that set out policies for ensuring, as far as reasonably practicable, that people do not live in fuel poverty. The subsequent strategy, which was published in November 2001, committed the Government to ending the blight of fuel poverty for vulnerable households by 2010, and for all households by 2016.
Dr Brenda Boardman, Emeritus Fellow at the University of Oxford’s Environmental Change Institute, whose 1988 book, Fuel Poverty provided us with the first definition of it, explains, “If there is a statutory duty in an Act of Parliament does that determine Government budget, or can they turn around and say we haven’t money to provide it? If the latter is the case then the Act, and its promise, is redundant.”
How optimistic is she that the 2016 target will be met? “The real trouble at the moment is that nobody has got a good strategy or costed plan of action as to how they are going to do it,” she says. “We can’t meet the 2010 target. There is just no way. 2016 is eight years away, but we won’t do it by just nibbling away at the bottom.”
And what about the Scottish Government’s progress? Could it face a similar legal challenge? “I have to say we have not looked into it in a real way yet but in principle, yes,” says Elizabeth Gore, deputy director, Energy Action Scotland. “The difference is England had an interim target of 2010, so it is more of a pressing issue down south.”
The Scottish Government’s commitment is set out separately in the Housing (Scotland) Act 2001, which pledges to ensure, “so far as reasonably practicable, that people are not living in fuel poverty in Scotland by November 2016.” However, Gore points out that under the Scottish Act the Scottish Government is only directly responsible for the part of the fuel poverty triptych relating to the energy efficiency of households. “The other two causes,” she says, “regulation of the energy market and income and benefits remain a reserved matter.”
If, in 2016 the SNP hasn’t got its way and Scotland remains part of the Union with these issues still reserved, could this be used as an excuse by the Scottish Government for not meeting its end of the bargain? “I hope not,” says Gore.
Does she think the 2016 target realistic? “It is eight years away, which might sound like a long way away, but when you consider the scale of the challenge ahead, it doesn’t seem all that long. But it does seem that the willingness is there to do something about it.”
Similarly, McNeish adds, “I think with current levels of investment we’ve got no hope, we won’t get even close. But this is an issue that has a lot of cross-party support and I’m still relatively optimistic that investment will be forthcoming in the future. So I don’t think it is game over, yet.”

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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 22 October 2008 )
 

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