SNP will be the largest party after the election with 51 seats, according to a 'poll of polls' released today by Weber Shandwick.
The poll, calculated by taking an average of the most recent opinion polls by six different polling organisations, places SNP on 36 per cent, Labour on 31 per cent, Liberal Democrats on 15 per cent and the Conservatives on 13 per cent for the constituency vote.
For the regional vote the poll states that Labour’s share of the vote would dip further to 29 per cent, with SNP on 35 per cent, Liberal Democrats on 14 per cent, Conservative on 12 per cent and the Green Party on 4 per cent.
Overall this would translate to the SNP returning 51 seats, Labour 44, Liberal Democrats 18 and the Conservatives 14.
However, going by these predictions, if Labour and the Liberal Democrats chose to continue their coalition they would be only three seats short of an overall majority.
Moray Macdonald, director of public affairs, Weber Shandwick, said: “If this poll mirrors the actual result on Election Day then the only thing that will be clear is that we may not know who will be in power for quite some time.
"There is a real possibility that although the SNP may have a larger share of the popular vote, and maybe even more MSPs, that Labour and the Lib Dems could just scrape enough MSPs to continue in coalition. If the SNP and Liberals can’t agree on a referendum on independence then this outcome is a very real possibility."
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